Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.245520 0.262480 0.280396 0.300793 0.323449 0.347930 0.376501
2025-04-06 0.206253 0.230406 0.257660 0.290988 0.331063 0.378246 0.438840
2025-04-13 0.179847 0.207161 0.239461 0.281104 0.334334 0.401506 0.495112
2025-04-20 0.166223 0.196367 0.233440 0.283467 0.351002 0.441900 0.579077
2025-04-27 0.156979 0.189442 0.230727 0.288711 0.370949 0.488536 0.680468
2025-05-04 0.147946 0.181628 0.225646 0.289557 0.384107 0.526707 0.776949
2025-05-11 0.139327 0.173459 0.219078 0.287189 0.391666 0.556857 0.866747
2025-05-18 0.131624 0.165836 0.212452 0.283765 0.396738 0.583230 0.955951
2025-05-25 0.123856 0.157540 0.204151 0.276881 0.395207 0.597788 1.025742
2025-06-01 0.117865 0.151311 0.198297 0.273060 0.397990 0.620024 1.117468
2025-06-08 0.112860 0.146152 0.193595 0.270515 0.402434 0.645763 1.224894
2025-06-15 0.110341 0.144374 0.193712 0.275538 0.420434 0.700510 1.422150
2025-06-22 0.105548 0.139136 0.188436 0.271567 0.422326 0.724326 1.553091
2025-06-29 0.099923 0.132437 0.180595 0.262801 0.414557 0.726908 1.627539
2025-07-06 0.094764 0.126208 0.173156 0.254188 0.406206 0.727007 1.696358
2025-07-13 0.092392 0.124045 0.171953 0.256196 0.418673 0.776850 1.955237
2025-07-20 0.090726 0.122853 0.172188 0.260703 0.436672 0.844120 2.326994
2025-07-27 0.088399 0.120522 0.170425 0.261428 0.446918 0.894596 2.677444
2025-08-03 0.085691 0.117471 0.167303 0.259389 0.450978 0.929786 2.994421
2025-08-10 0.082989 0.114315 0.163840 0.256440 0.452680 0.959005 3.314754
2025-08-17 0.079902 0.110433 0.158980 0.250503 0.447018 0.965857 3.521442
2025-08-24 0.077475 0.107512 0.155610 0.247203 0.447058 0.990064 3.869392
2025-08-31 0.075384 0.105052 0.152906 0.245004 0.449410 1.022208 4.322700